Should we use Elliott wave theory approach in technical analysis to study and invest in the stock markets? - Dr Shashank M Hiremath

Dear Readers, 

Greetings of the day!! 

Elliott Wave Theory is a popular technical analysis approach used to analyse financial markets, including the Indian stock market. Developed by Ralph Nelson Elliott in the 1930s, the theory suggests that financial markets move in predictable patterns or waves. 

According to Elliott Wave Theory, market price movements consist of alternating waves of expansion and contraction, which are driven by investor psychology and market sentiment. These waves are divided into two types: impulse waves and corrective waves. 

Impulse waves, also known as motive waves, are the larger waves that move in the direction of the overall trend. They are further subdivided into five smaller waves, labelled as 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5. Waves 1, 3, and 5 represent the upward movement of the trend, while waves 2 and 4 are the corrective waves that retrace some of the price movement. 

Corrective waves, on the other hand, are the smaller waves that move against the overall trend. They are labelled as A, B, and C and typically retrace a portion of the preceding impulse wave. 

(Elliott Wave Patterns) 

Traders and analysts who follow Elliott Wave Theory attempt to identify these waves and use them to make predictions about future price movements. They look for specific patterns and wave counts to determine the current position within the wave cycle and anticipate potential future market moves. 

While Elliott Wave Theory can be a useful tool for some traders, it is important to note that it is a subjective analysis method that requires a fair amount of skill and interpretation. It relies heavily on the accurate identification and labelling of waves, which can be challenging, especially in real-time market conditions. Therefore, it is recommended to use Elliott Wave Theory in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools to make well-informed trading decisions. 

It's worth mentioning that the effectiveness of Elliott Wave Theory in the Indian stock market, like any other market, is a topic of debate among traders and analysts. Some find it valuable and use it as part of their trading strategy, while others may have different perspectives or rely on other methods. Ultimately, it's important for traders to conduct thorough research and practice due diligence before applying any trading approach in the Indian stock market or any other market. 

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Best regards,
Dr Shashank M Hiremath, DISM, MBA, M.Com, UGC NET, PhD.

Associate Professor, CMS B-School,

JAIN (Deemed-to-be University),

No.17, Sheshadri Road, Gandhi Nagar,

Bengaluru - 560009, Karnataka.

Phone: +91-9845239036
Email ID: shashankmh2000@gmail.com